**Subject Area:**Mathematics

**Grade:**7

**Domain-Subdomain:**Statistics & Probability

**Cluster:**Level 1: Recall

**Cluster:**Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models. (Supporting Cluster) -

Clusters should not be sorted from Major to Supporting and then taught in that order. To do so would strip the coherence of the mathematical ideas and miss the opportunity to enhance the major work of the grade with the supporting clusters.

**Date Adopted or Revised:**02/14

**Date of Last Rating:**02/14

**Status:**State Board Approved - Archived

**Assessed:**Yes

**Assessment Limits :**N/A

**Calculator :**Neutral

**Context :**Required

**Test Item #:**Sample Item 1**Question:**The local weather report stated there is a chance of rain on Friday. How likely is it to rain?

**Difficulty:**N/A**Type:**MC: Multiple Choice

**Test Item #:**Sample Item 2**Question:**The weather report stated there is a chance of rain on Friday, but it is more likely to rain on Saturday than on Friday.

What is a possible probability of rain on Saturday?

**Difficulty:**N/A**Type:**EE: Equation Editor

**Test Item #:**Sample Item 3**Question:**The local weather report states that there is more than a chance of rain for Saturday.

What is the likelihood that it will rain on Saturday?

**Difficulty:**N/A**Type:**MC: Multiple Choice

## Related Courses

## Related Access Points

## Related Resources

## Formative Assessments

## Lesson Plans

## Original Student Tutorial

## Perspectives Video: Expert

## Problem-Solving Task

## Text Resource

## Tutorial

## Virtual Manipulatives

## STEM Lessons - Model Eliciting Activity

Students will decide what is the best month to celebrate an outdoor wedding. The couple is looking for the perfect wedding day. What is the definition of a perfect day? It has to be a Saturday or Sunday with a 20% or less probability of rain and sunny but not too hot. Based on the information provided , students will find the month in which the probability of having a rainy day and the probability of having a super hot day (temperature higher than 75º F) are minimal.

Model Eliciting Activities, MEAs, are open-ended, interdisciplinary problem-solving activities that are meant to reveal students’ thinking about the concepts embedded in realistic situations. Click here to learn more about MEAs and how they can transform your classroom.

## MFAS Formative Assessments

Students are asked to determine the likelihood of an event given a probability.

Students are asked to determine the likelihood of an event given a probability.

Students are asked to determine whether or not a given number could represent the probability of an event.

## Original Student Tutorials Mathematics - Grades 6-8

Learn how to calculate the probability of simple events, that probability is the likeliness of an event occurring, and that some events may be more likely than others to occur in this interactive tutorial.

## Student Resources

## Original Student Tutorial

Learn how to calculate the probability of simple events, that probability is the likeliness of an event occurring, and that some events may be more likely than others to occur in this interactive tutorial.

Type: Original Student Tutorial

## Problem-Solving Task

This task asks students to calculate probabilities using information presented in a two-way frequency table.

Type: Problem-Solving Task

## Tutorial

This video discusses the limits of probability as between 0 and 1.

Type: Tutorial

## Virtual Manipulatives

In this activity, students adjust how many sections there are on a fair spinner then run simulated trials on that spinner as a way to develop concepts of probability. A table next to the spinner displays the theoretical probability for each color section of the spinner and records the experimental probability from the spinning trials. This activity allows students to explore the topics of experimental and theoretical probability by seeing them displayed side by side for the spinner they have created. This activity includes supplemental materials, including background information about the topics covered, a description of how to use the application, and exploration questions for use with the java applet.

Type: Virtual Manipulative

This virtual manipulative allows one to make a random drawing box, putting up to 21 tickets with the numbers 0-11 on them. After selecting which tickets to put in the box, the applet will choose tickets at random. There is also an option which will show the theoretical probability for each ticket.

Type: Virtual Manipulative

## Parent Resources

## Problem-Solving Task

This task asks students to calculate probabilities using information presented in a two-way frequency table.

Type: Problem-Solving Task