SC.912.E.7.5

Predict future weather conditions based on present observations and conceptual models and recognize limitations and uncertainties of such predictions.

General Information

Subject Area: Science

Grade: 912

Body of Knowledge: Earth and Space Science

Idea: Level 3: Strategic Thinking & Complex Reasoning

Standard: Earth Systems and Patterns - The scientific theory of the evolution of Earth states that changes in our planet are driven by the flow of energy and the cycling of matter through dynamic interactions among the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, geosphere, and biosphere, and the resources used to sustain human civilization on Earth.

Date Adopted or Revised: 02/08

Content Complexity Rating: Level 3: Strategic Thinking & Complex Reasoning - More Information

Date of Last Rating: 05/08

Status: State Board Approved

Related Courses

This benchmark is part of these courses.

2002050: M/J Comprehensive Science 1, Advanced (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

2001020: M/J Earth/Space Science, Advanced (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

2001310: Earth/Space Science (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

2001320: Earth/Space Science Honors (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

2002450: Integrated Science 3 Honors (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

2002530: Marine Science 2 Honors (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

7920020: Access Earth/Space Science (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2018, 2018 - 2023, 2023 and beyond (current))

2002055: M/J Comprehensive Science 1 Accelerated Honors (Specifically in versions: 2014 - 2015, 2015 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

7920040: Fundamental Integrated Science 3 (Specifically in versions: 2013 - 2015, 2015 - 2017 (course terminated))

2001330: Meteorology Honors (Specifically in versions: 2016 - 2019, 2019 - 2022, 2022 and beyond (current))

1804320: United States Coast Guard Leadership and Operations 3 (Specifically in versions: 2021 - 2022, 2022 - 2023, 2023 and beyond (current))

Related Access Points

Alternate version of this benchmark for students with significant cognitive disabilities.

SC.912.E.7.In.5: Identify weather conditions using weather data and weather maps.

SC.912.E.7.Su.5: Identify weather conditions, including temperature, wind speed, and humidity.

SC.912.E.7.Pa.5: Recognize the weather conditions, including severe weather, in Florida.

Related Resources

Vetted resources educators can use to teach the concepts and skills in this benchmark.

Lesson Plans

Making Weather Forecasting More Reliable through MADIS:

In this lesson, students will analyze an informational text that addresses a weather data assimilation system for forecasting weather. This lesson is designed to support reading in the content area. The text describes what weather data is used with this system, where it’s coming from, and who can use it. The lesson includes a note-taking guide, text-dependent questions, a writing prompt, answer keys and a writing rubric.

Type: Lesson Plan

Where's the Rain? Researching Drier Climates in the Southwest:

This lesson plan is designed to support reading in the content area. In this lesson, students will read a text that describes a study on the climate of the American Southwest. Using 35 years' worth of data, scientists believe a subtle shift in weather patterns is leading to drier conditions in the Southwest. The text goes on to explain the significance of this research and the challenge of connecting drier conditions in the region to climate change. The lesson plan includes text-dependent questions, a writing prompt, sample answers, and a writing rubric.

Type: Lesson Plan

ENSO: Friend or Foe?:

In this activity students will compare El Nino / La Nina Anomaly data and compare the data to hurricane frequency in the Atlantic Basin. The ENSO Anomaly Data has been provided. Students will then research hurricane frequency and compare both data sets. To close the activity, students will need to apply the knowledge learned in the lesson to synthesize and make a prediction in a writing prompt.

Type: Lesson Plan

Do We Stay or Do We Go? - Predicting the Path of A Tropical Cyclone:

In this activity, the students plot a real storm in the Atlantic basin using the same models as the National Hurricane Center. Students will compare their predictions of a storms future path to the predictions of the National Hurricane Center models. This exercise can last for as many as 20 days depending on the life of the tropical cyclone.

Type: Lesson Plan

Using a Sling Psychrometer to help predict the Weather:

This lesson will give students the ability to understand how fog can affect their lives living in the State of Florida. Students will learn how to properly use a sling psychrometer, how to interpret the measurement results, and how to use this data to predict the occurrence of fog as it relates to transportation. The analysis part of the lesson revolves around the ability to predict the likelihood of fog if the Dew Point is within 5 Degrees F. of the ambient temperature, also in Degrees F.

Type: Lesson Plan

Forecasting the Weather:

In this lesson students will predict and interpret a weather forecast of a selected area. The students will choose an area and make a two day prediction of the weather for that selected area based upon current weather conditions and models.

Type: Lesson Plan

A Bunch of Hot Air....Balloon Rides That Is!:

This is a 9th grade MEA about weather prediction and limitations thereof. This MEA will ask students to work as a team to design a plan to select the source for weather forecasts for a private hot-air balloon tour company. Students will evaluate information from various weather predictions sources to determine which one is best for a hot-air balloon ride company.

Model Eliciting Activities, MEAs, are open-ended, interdisciplinary problem-solving activities that are meant to reveal students’ thinking about the concepts embedded in realistic situations. Click here to learn more about MEAs and how they can transform your classroom.

Type: Lesson Plan

How Do Meteorologists Forecast the Weather?:

This is a lesson that I developed where students learn how meteorologists predict the weather. Students will use surface weather maps, radar, satellite, and weather models from the National Weather Service to assess the current state of the weather and make a prediction.

Type: Lesson Plan

Perspectives Video: Experts

Ensemble forecasting and the use of technology in weather predicting:

Jon Ahlquist discusses ensemble forecasting and how technology has allowed us to collect important data for the understanding of weather.

Download the CPALMS Perspectives video student note taking guide.